Variety‘s Awards Circuit is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year. It features the official predictions for the Oscars, Emmys, Grammys, and Tony Awards, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
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2024 Emmy Predictions: All Categories
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Weekly Commentary (Updated: May 23, 2024): Seventy categories for the Primetime Emmy Awards are being predicted and added to the page. Leading the pack are the double FX frontrunners — the drama “Shōgun” and the comedy “The Bear” — both have early leads in the nomination tallies. With 25 nominations projected, “The Bear” is set to break the record for a comedy series, a record long held by “30 Rock,” which had 22 nominations in a single year. This potential milestone underscores the growing acclaim and popularity of “The Bear,” which has resonated strongly with both audiences and critics. “Shōgun” sits comfortably with 20 projected noms, with more that could be added.
On the network front, Netflix’s sheer volume of content has the streaming giant barreling towards the 100 nomination mark, putting it at the forefront for all studios. Leading the pack for Netflix are acclaimed series such as “The Crown,” which continues to captivate with its portrayal of the British monarchy, “Baby Reindeer,” a newcomer making waves with its unique storytelling, and “Ripley,” an adaptation of the classic Tom Ripley novels. Additionally, Netflix’s nonfiction offerings, such as “The Greatest Night in Pop,” are racking up mentions, showcasing the platform’s diverse range of high-quality content. Variety still hasn’t released the first picks in categories like sound, makeup, and other technical races, so it will only increase from there. Netflix is expected to pick up some additional mentions, further bolstering its impressive tally.
Below is the list of updates. All listed episodes and credited names are not final and are subject to change. The eligibility deadline for all series concluding their runs is May 31. The nominations-voting-round is open from June 13 to June 24.
Top 5 nomination leaders (series):
“The Bear” (25); “Shōgun” (20); “The Crown” (16); “Fallout” (11); “Baby Reindeer” (9)
Top 5 nomination leaders (individual networks):
Netflix (95); FX (60); Max (47); Apple TV+ (27); Prime Video (25)
Upcoming For Your Consideration (FYC) events:
“All the Light We Cannot See” (Netflix), “Jerrod Carmichael Reality Show,” “Jim Henson Idea Man” (May 23); “The Beach Boys” (Disney+); “Ripley” (Netflix), “Alice & Jack” (May 24); “Blue Eye Samurai” (Netflix), “Reservation Dogs” (FX) (May 28)
Note: Not all category and genre placements have yet to be confirmed and are subject to change.
Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit.
*** = Predicted Winner