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Emmy Predictions: Lead Actor in a Limited Series or TV Movie – Can Himesh Patel Sneak Into the Lineup?

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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE EMMYS COLLECTIVE

Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE EMMYS HUB

To see old predictions and commentary, click the EMMY PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES

For film awards predictions go toTHE OSCARS HUB

UPDATED: May 26, 2022

2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR TV MOVIE

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:

One of the multiple examples of talented performers in our midst that should be a more prominent name in the biz, Himesh Patel, has exhibited great skill and passion with his choices in roles. There’s no better recent example than his work as Jeevan Chaudhary in HBO’s “Station Eleven,” which, if enough voters give their time, could surprise in many major categories, including Patel.

An undervalued actor with over three decades of impressive performances in film and television, Joshua Jackson assembles one of his more complex acting turns in Peacock’s “Dr. Death.” While more of a longshot in this competitive field, his creation of Dr. Christopher Duntsch may produce a late-breaking swing that lands him in the lineup

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DR. DEATH — Episode 104 — Pictured: Joshua Jackson as Christopher Duntsch — (Photo by:Scott McDermott/Peacock)
Scott McDermott/Peacock

Fresh off his second Oscar nomination for playing Jonathan Larson in “Tick, Tick … Boom!” (2021), Andrew Garfield takes on a religious and spiritual portrayal as Detective Jeb Pyre in the mystery-thriller “Under the Banner of Heaven” from FX. After dominating the box office, and his star reaching astronomical levels, he could pull a sweep a la Kate Winslet in “Mare of Easttown,” a similar feeling limited series.

What’s better than one Oscar Isaac project? Multiple Oscar Isaac projects, as the Latino star took over the Disney+ platform with the superhero hit “Moon Knight,” which will keep him in the conversation for his incredible portrayal of a husband battling to save his marriage in the English remake, “Scenes from a Marriage.” After his snub for “Show Me a Hero” in 2016, he’s owed his time in the spotlight by the TV Academy.

A chameleon for taking on characters, Jared Leto makes his long-awaited return to television after more than 25 years in the classic series “My So-Called Life,” playing WeWork founder Adam Newmann in the Apple limited series. With Emmy winner Anne Hathaway by his side, his transformation has been touted as one of his finest and could be memorable enough to stand out.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

The nomination round of voting runs from June 16 to June 27. The official nominations for the 74th Emmy Awards will be announced Tuesday, July 12.

The list of programs and potential nominees listed below is incomplete and is subject to change. The full television awards season calendar is linked here.

2021 category winner: Ewan McGregor, “Halston” (Netflix)


ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

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Apple TV Plus

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:
RANK CONTENDER SERIES NETWORK
1 Michael Keaton “Dopesick” Hulu
2 Colin Firth “The Staircase” HBO/HBO Max
3 Andrew Garfield “Under the Banner of Heaven” FX
4 Ben Foster “The Survivor” HBO/HBO Max
5 Oscar Isaac “Scenes from a Marriage” HBO/HBO Max
6 Sebastian Stan “Pam and Tommy” Hulu
NEXT IN LINE
7 Samuel L. Jackson “The Last Days of Ptolemy Grey” Apple TV+
8 Jared Leto “WeCrashed” Apple TV+
9 Himesh Patel “Station Eleven” HBO/HBO Max
10 Joshua Jackson “Dr. Death” Peacock
OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS
11 Oscar Isaac “Moon Knight” Disney+
12 Paul Bettany “A Very British Scandal” Amazon Prime Video
13 Sean Penn “Gaslit” Starz
14 Tom Hiddleston “The Essex Serpent” Apple TV+
15 Sam Elliott “1883” Paramount+
16 Liev Schreiber “Ray Donovan: The Movie” Showtime
17 Jon Bernthal “We Own This City” HBO/HBO Max
18 Joseph Gordon-Levitt “Super Pumped: The Battle for Uber” Showtime
19 Will Ferrell “The Shrink Next Door” Apple TV+
20 Clive Owen “Impeachment: American Crime Story” FX
ALSO IN CONTENTION
21 Tony Goldwyn “The Hot Zone: Anthrax” National Geographic
22 Paul Rudd “The Shrink Next Door” Apple TV+
23 Ben Whishaw “This is Going to Hurt” BBC One
24 Jaden Michael “Colin in Black and White” Netflix
25 David Thewlis “Landscapers” HBO/HBO Max
26 Hamish Linklater “Midnight Mass” Netflix
27 John Lithgow “Live in Front of a Studio Audience: ‘The Facts of Life’ and ‘Diff’rent Strokes’” ABC
28 Kevin Hart “Live in Front of a Studio Audience: ‘The Facts of Life’ and ‘Diff’rent Strokes’” ABC
29 Jeremy Renner “Hawkeye” Disney+
30 David Oyelowo “The Girl Before” HBO/HBO Max
UNRANKED CONTENDERS
Bruce Davison “The Manor” Amazon Prime Video
Charlie Day “I Want You Back” Amazon Prime Video
Clive Owen “Lisey’s Story” Apple TV+
Eugenio Derbez “The Valet” Hulu
Finn Wittrock “American Horror Story: Double Feature” FX
Harry Connick Jr. “Annie Live!” NBC
John Cameron Mitchell “Joe vs. Carole” Peacock
Jon Stewart “Live in Front of a Studio Audience: ‘The Facts of Life’ and ‘Diff’rent Strokes’” ABC
Kevin Hart “True Story” Netflix
Louis Patridge “Pistol” FX
Martin Freeman “Angelyne” Peacock
Miles Teller “The Offer” Paramount+
Sean Bean “Time” BritBox
Stephen Graham “Help” Channel 4
Tom Riley “The Woman in the House Across the Street from the Girl in the Window” Netflix
Will Poulter “Why Didn’t The Ask Evans?” BritBox
William Jackson Harper “Love Life” HBO/HBO Max
Zach Braff “Moonshot” HBO/HBO Max
Zach Braff “Cheaper by the Dozen” Disney+

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Lead Actor Limited)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television’s most prestigious artistic award. There are many records held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.

For wins: This category has had many rule changes and inceptions in its history, but it’s worth noting that Laurence Olivier has the most wins in this category, with four with Peter Ustinov behind him with three.

For nominations: Hal Holbrook has the most nominations in this category of any actor with seven, while Benedict Cumberbatch and Laurence Olivier follow close behind with six apiece.


2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions

  • Outstanding Television Movie
  • Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series
  • Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series
  • Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series
  • Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series
  • Outstanding Reality Host
  • Outstanding Directing for a Variety Series
  • Outstanding Writing for a Variety Series
  • Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special
  • Outstanding Writing for a Variety Special
  • Outstanding Animated Program
  • Outstanding Short Form Animated Program
  • Outstanding Voice-Over Performance
  • Outstanding Narrator
  • Outstanding Structured Program
  • Outstanding Unstructured Program
  • Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series
  • Outstanding Documentary Special
  • Outstanding Documentary Filmmaking
  • Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special
  • Outstanding Main Title Design
  • Outstanding Main Title Theme Music
  • Outstanding Music for Series
  • Outstanding Music for Limited Series
  • Outstanding Music and Lyrics
  • Outstanding Music Supervision

About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

  • The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.

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