Padres vs. Braves odds, line, start time: 2023 MLB picks, Sunday Night Baseball predictions from proven model

The Atlanta Braves will look to salvage a split in their four-game series with the San Diego Padres when they meet on Sunday Night Baseball. The Padres (5-4), who are coming off a 4-1 win over Atlanta on Saturday, were 45-36 on the road in 2022. The Braves (6-3), who won the first game of the series before losing the next two, were 55-26 at home last season. San Diego won four of seven meetings a year ago.

First pitch from Truist Park in Atlanta is set for 7:08 p.m. ET. The Braves lead the all-time series 367-289, including a 194-134 edge in games played at home. Atlanta is a -120 favorite on the money line (risk $120 to win $100) in the latest Padres vs. Braves odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 9. Before making any Braves vs. Padres picks, be sure to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it finished the 2022 MLB season on a 20-14 roll. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on Padres vs. Braves and revealed its predictions and best bets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s MLB picks. Here are the MLB odds and betting trends for Braves vs. Padres:

• Padres vs. Braves money line: Padres +100, Braves -120
• Padres vs. Braves over-under: 9 runs
• Padres vs. Braves run line: Braves -1.5 (+170)
• SD: The Padres are 21-8 in their last 29 Game 4s of a series
• ATL: The Braves are 44-15 in their last 59 home games
• Padres vs. Braves picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Braves

Third baseman Austin Riley is off to a solid start to the season and had his seven-game hitting streak snapped on Saturday. For the year, he is hitting .313 with two homers, seven RBI and four runs scored. He is 4-for-10 in the series with two RBI and three walks. He has hit well against San Diego throughout his career. In 18 games against the Padres, he is batting .261 with three doubles, eight RBI and six walks.

Also playing well is shortstop Orlando Arcia. In nine games, he is batting .286 with two homers, four RBI and seven runs scored. He powered the Braves to a 7-6 win in the series opener, going 3-for-4 with a double, home run, two RBI and two runs scored. It was his second multi-hit game of the season, having also registered three hits in a 7-1 win at Washington on April 1.

Why you should back the Padres

San Diego will counter with right-hander Seth Lugo on the hill. Lugo is off to a good start, earning the victory in his first start of the year, a 3-1 win over Colorado last Sunday. In seven innings, he allowed four hits, one earned run and zero walks, while striking out seven. He will be making just his second start since 2020. Last year with the New York Mets, he worked out of the bullpen, appearing in 62 games, going 3-2 with a 3.60 ERA. He walked 18, while striking out 69.

Shortstop Xander Bogaerts has been red hot to start the season. Through the first nine games, he is hitting .333 with three homers, eight RBI and seven runs scored. He was 1-for-3 with a pair of walks in Saturday’s 4-1 win over the Braves. In 150 games with Boston in 2022, Bogaerts hit .307 with 38 doubles, 15 homers and 73 RBI. He also walked 57 times, while stealing eight bases.

How to make Braves vs. Padres picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the run total, with the simulations projecting the teams to combine for 9.6 runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Padres vs. Braves? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished last season on a roll, and find out.